2027 IPCC Methodology Report on Inventories for Short-lived Climate Forcers

Methodology Report

Report

The Panel agreed to the preparation of the 2027 IPCC Methodology Report on Inventories for Short-lived Climate Forcers at its 61st Session held in in Sofia, Bulgaria from 27 July to 2 August 2024 (Decision IPCC-LXI-7).

The Panel also agreed to the outline of the report, which will provide guidance on Short-lived Climate Forcer emissions which are anthropogenic, not including secondary human-induced substances, national, annual and will be reported in mass units for each individual emitted species.

The report aims to cover:

  1. all IPCC inventory sectors with categories where the science is assessed to be robust enough to provide guidance for a Tier 1 methodological approach and have a relative contribution to the global/regional emissions of the species, species assessed and potentially covered by the new Methodology Report will be NOX, CO, NMVOCs, SO2, NH3, BC and OC, as well as emissions of primary particulate matter relevant for radiative forcing, as appropriate.
  2. Methane and halogenated species under Montreal Protocol and Kigali Amendment will not be covered since these are already addressed by the existing IPCC Guidelines.
  3. Given the uncertainties in the radiative forcing of H2 and taking note that H2 has not yet been well assessed as a climate forcer by IPCC WGI, H2 emissions relevant for radiative forcing are to be considered by the authors as an Appendix subtitled “Basis for future methodological development” subject to the IPCC’s Principles and Procedures on review and adoption.
  4. For NMVOCs, the methodology should provide estimates for total NMVOCs. The speciation of NMVOCs should be considered by authors, as appropriate.
  5. Anthropogenic emissions only, where anthropogenic refers to emissions from human activities and from managed land.
  6. Sources covered are those of anthropogenic emissions, where scientific evidence is available; while for others, guidance could be provided as a basis for future methodological development.
  7. Geographical and temporal coverage is national and annual level, and authors should also consider guidance on spatial and temporal disaggregation of SLCF emissions.

 

The First Lead Author Meeting for the  2027 IPCC Methodology Report on Inventories for Short-lived Climate Forcers will be held on 24-26 March 2025 in Bilbao, Spain. 

Over 100 experts have been selected by the IPCC Task Force Bureau to participate in the writing process, which will be completed by 2027.

The participants have been selected by the Task Force Bureau taking into account scientific and technical expertise, geographical and gender balance to the extent possible in line with Appendix A to the Principles Governing IPCC Work.

Preparatory Work

The decision by the Panel to prepare this Methodology Report was informed by the work of experts at the  scoping meeting held in Brisbane, Australia, from 26-28 February 2024.

Prior to the scoping meeting, a series of expert meetings was held during the IPCC sixth assessment cycle.  The reports of the third expert meeting and the Joint TFI and WGI 1st and 2nd expert meetings are also available on the IPCC TFI website.